Montedio Yamagata 1-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.36
+23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-0 HT 2-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
13.05.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
25.06.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
20.03.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
05.12.2018 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-2 HT 3-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 50% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 50%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 2.00 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Montedio Yamagata 1-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 39%, draw 26%, Vegalta Sendai 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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