Tochigi SC 2-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
15%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 66%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.71/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.47
-25% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY JEF United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
162 Passes 423
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 JEF United JEF United 8-0 HT 3-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
16.09.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
21.05.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
10.07.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
26.03.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.11.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
2-1
AWAY JEF United
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC squeezed past JEF United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 46% of the ball to JEF United's 54%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 2.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs JEF United?

Tochigi SC 2-1 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 23%, draw 27%, JEF United 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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