MIO Biwako Shiga 1-4 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.75/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-40% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.5 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
15.02.2026 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 2-0 MIO Biwako Shiga MIO Biwako Shiga JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga
1-4
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
148 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH MIO Biwako Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi cruised past MIO Biwako Shiga 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, MIO Biwako Shiga had 41% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 59%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of MIO Biwako Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

MIO Biwako Shiga 1-4 Renofa Yamaguchi in the JAP2-3 on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MIO Biwako Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MIO Biwako Shiga 25%, draw 30%, Renofa Yamaguchi 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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