Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
Al Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al Fateh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah got the better of Al Fateh 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 56% of the ball to Al Fateh's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 4.89 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.50 for Al Fateh.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh?
Al Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 69%, draw 16%, Al Fateh 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.