Jamaika 1-0 Dominik Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
46%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.9pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 9%
-85% / -85% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.83/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-72% / -83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
1-0
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti
2.24 xG 0.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
350 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika nicked a narrow win over Dominik Cumhuriyeti 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jamaika as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jamaika had 56% of the ball to Dominik Cumhuriyeti's 44%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.24 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Jamaika's control.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Jamaika 1-0 Dominik Cumhuriyeti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 62%, draw 18%, Dominik Cumhuriyeti 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamaika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jamaika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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