Libya 2-1 Mauritius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
20%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
3.05
No
60%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.55
6+ Goals
7%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-19.2pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
29%
+11.2pp
60%
BTTS No
71%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libya EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Mauritius EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libya
2-1
AWAY Mauritius
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Libya vs Mauritius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libya edged past Mauritius 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Libya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libya had 43% of the ball to Mauritius's 57%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Libya vs Mauritius?

Libya 2-1 Mauritius in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libya vs Mauritius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Libya 59%, draw 22%, Mauritius 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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