06/06/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Mısır vs Burkina Faso Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94
— our 32% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
24%
Draw
23%
24%
Away Win
16%
54%
Under 2.5
53%
46%
Over 2.5
47%
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
56%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mısır v Burkina Faso — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mısır
EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Burkina Faso
EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
1.94/0.21
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.77/1.56
-24%
/
+74%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-43%
/
+5%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
2
402 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 72%
18.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0
9.0
Crosses
16.6
1.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
Mısır vs Burkina Faso Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mısır
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Burkina Faso
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
39%
Ball Possession
61%
6
Total Shots
24
2
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
12
300
Passes
609
76%
Pass Accuracy
86%
16
Box Touches
41
11
Crosses
24
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
01.02.2017
Burkina Faso
1-1
HT 0-0
Mısır
AFUK
1-1
HT 0-0
Mısır
AFUK
Mısır 2-1 Burkina Faso — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Mısır
2-1
AWAY
Burkina Faso
59%
Ball Possession
41%
10
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Mısır vs Burkina Faso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mısır nicked a narrow win over Burkina Faso 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mısır had 59% of the ball to Burkina Faso's 41%, shots finished 10-10.
What was the final score of Mısır vs Burkina Faso?
Mısır 2-1 Burkina Faso in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mısır vs Burkina Faso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mısır 52%, draw 24%, Burkina Faso 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mısır)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
DKE
More World Cup Qualifiers
6 Jun 2024