Mali 1-2 Gana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

Mali
1-2 HT 1-0
Gana
📅06/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Mali vs Gana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 41% vs market 37.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.7pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mali v Gana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mali EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.76/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/1.73
-64% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.8
23.0 Crosses 7.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Mali vs Gana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.10.2020 Gana Gana 0-3 HT 0-1 Mali Mali HAZ
21.01.2017 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 1-0 Mali Mali AFUK
31.03.2015 Gana Gana 1-1 HT 0-0 Mali Mali HAZ
09.02.2013 Mali Mali 3-1 HT 1-0 Gana Gana AFUK
24.01.2013 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 1-0 Mali Mali AFUK
11.02.2012 Gana Gana 0-2 HT 0-1 Mali Mali AFUK

Mali 1-2 Gana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mali
1-2
AWAY Gana
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mali vs Gana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gana squeezed past Mali 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mali at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mali had 54% of the ball to Gana's 46%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mali and 0.67 for Gana.

What was the final score of Mali vs Gana?

Mali 1-2 Gana in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mali vs Gana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mali 48%, draw 26%, Gana 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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