Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Jun 2025

📅06/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 30%
+21% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.85/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.69
+19% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +110%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Naestved
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.21 xG 1.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
21.03.2025 Naestved Naestved 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
11.10.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.02.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
05.03.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
12.08.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
1-0
AWAY Naestved
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager edged past Naestved 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 58% of the ball to Naestved's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fremad Amager and 0.67 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Naestved?

Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 51%, draw 25%, Naestved 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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