Once Caldas vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Once Caldas
KOL
Once Caldas 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe edged past Once Caldas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Once Caldas had 56% of the ball to Santa Fe's 44%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Once Caldas.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Once Caldas and 0.83 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Santa Fe?
Once Caldas 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 41%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.