Portland Timbers 2-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Jul 2025

Portland Timbers
2-1 HT 1-1
New England Revolution
📅06/07/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - Major League – 2025

Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.87
1/2
12%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
11%
7.17
X/X
11%
5.72
2/1
8%
21.95
2/2
16%
4.59
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portland Timbers v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.59/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.59
+16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.2 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
1W-5D-0L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
307 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
26.09.2019 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
02.09.2018 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
03.04.2017 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
28.04.2016 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
07.06.2015 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

Portland Timbers 2-1 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
2-1
AWAY New England Revolution
1.07 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
435 Passes 414
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers squeezed past New England Revolution 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Portland Timbers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 51% of the ball to New England Revolution's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.61 — on chances, New England Revolution could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.17 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution?

Portland Timbers 2-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated an New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 36%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
6 Jul 2025
02:15 Charlotte vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Atlanta United Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Analysis →
03:30 Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
04:30 Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City Analysis →