CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.61
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
21%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.25/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.26
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.8 Crosses 9.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 2.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
422 Passes 414
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
12.05.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-3 HT 2-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
11.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
28.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.02.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.10.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-3 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-4
AWAY Inter Miami
1.97 xG 2.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 2
361 Passes 520
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami cruised past CF Montreal 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 42% of the ball to Inter Miami's 58%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.97 to 2.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CF Montreal and 2.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?

CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 27%, draw 30%, Inter Miami 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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