Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.34
1/2
8%
22.45
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
6.94
X/2
14%
5.5
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
13%
3.02
2/X
6%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +24%
1.63/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+36% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 83%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.4 Crosses 11.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 478
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 3-1 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
10.11.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
02.11.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
28.10.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
19.09.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
20.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-2
AWAY Orlando City
0.82 xG 2.35
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
243 Passes 535
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte and Orlando City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Charlotte had 33% of the ball to Orlando City's 67%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.82 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlotte and 1.67 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 42%, draw 23%, Orlando City 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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