San Diego vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Diego v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
San Diego 3-4 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo squeezed past San Diego 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was San Diego at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Diego had 59% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.67 to 1.62.
What was the final score of San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
San Diego 3-4 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Diego 44%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 29%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.