Emelec 2-0 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.29/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
-18% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.0 Crosses 14.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.28 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2025 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
2-0
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.56 xG 0.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 4
356 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec saw off Cuniburo FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Emelec as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Emelec had 58% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 42%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.56 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Cuniburo FC?

Emelec 2-0 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Emelec 44%, draw 26%, Cuniburo FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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