Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.62/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.44
+16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 70%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.7 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barcelona SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.05.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
02.04.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle LKU
09.03.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-4 HT 0-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.08.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-2 HT 3-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
10.03.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-1 HT 3-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
19.08.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.59 xG 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
331 Passes 301
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle and Barcelona SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 51% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.59 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.17 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC?

Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 50%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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