Aucas vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
2-4
HT 2-3
Macara
EKV1
Aucas 1-4 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Macara cruised past Aucas 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aucas had 62% of the ball to Macara's 38%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.83 to 1.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aucas and 1.17 for Macara.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas 1-4 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aucas 52%, draw 25%, Macara 23%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.