Forge 2-1 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.66/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.62
+0% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
17.4 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.92 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
22.09.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
19.08.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
06.07.2024 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
18.05.2024 Forge Forge 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
04.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Forge Forge CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-1
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.13 xG 1.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
348 Passes 409
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge edged past Vancouver FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Forge had 46% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 2.13 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Forge and 1.17 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Forge vs Vancouver FC?

Forge 2-1 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Forge 50%, draw 23%, Vancouver FC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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