Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carabobo v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Carabobo
VEN
2-0
HT 1-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
Carabobo 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Carabobo squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Carabobo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Carabobo had 55% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 45%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Carabobo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carabobo and 0.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.
What was the final score of Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Carabobo 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 39%, draw 32%, Estudiantes De Merida 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.