Super Nova 1-2 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 Jul 2026

📅06/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.99/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.13
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -62%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.7 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.89 xG 0.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
288 Passes 234
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2026 Super Nova Super Nova 3-1 HT 2-1 Ogre United LET
03.04.2026 Ogre United 1-2 HT 0-2 Super Nova Super Nova LET
10.11.2024 Super Nova Super Nova 3-0 Ogre United LET1
27.07.2024 Ogre United 1-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-2
AWAY Ogre United
2.34 xG 0.93
15 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
312 Passes 257
33 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Super Nova vs Ogre United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ogre United edged past Super Nova 2-1 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 6 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.34 to 0.93.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Super Nova have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Super Nova and 0.75 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Ogre United?

Super Nova 1-2 Ogre United in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 61%, draw 21%, Ogre United 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Super Nova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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