Super Nova vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals
Super Nova vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Super Nova 3-1 Ogre United — Actual Match Statistics
Super Nova beat Ogre United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Super Nova had 60% of the ball to Ogre United's 40%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.22 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Super Nova had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Super Nova and 0.67 for Ogre United.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Super Nova 3-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 55%, draw 23%, Ogre United 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.