Riga FC 2-2 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.18
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
80%
-6.0pp
15%
Draw
13%
+2.2pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
2.83/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.51
+5% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
44.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
31.3 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FS Jelgava
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.82 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
422 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-8 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.09.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
01.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
10.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.03.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
05.10.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-2
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.92 xG 0.27
75% Ball Possession 25%
25 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
539 Passes 128
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
37 Box Touches 7
43 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC and FS Jelgava shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Riga FC carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Riga FC had 75% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 25%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.92 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Riga FC 2-2 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 74%, draw 15%, FS Jelgava 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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