Riga FC vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga FC v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
Riga FC vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Riga FC 2-2 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC and FS Jelgava shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
This one beat our numbers. Riga FC carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Riga FC had 75% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 25%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.92 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?
Riga FC 2-2 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 74%, draw 15%, FS Jelgava 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.