FS Jelgava 0-8 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
69%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+3.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.1pp
69%
Away Win
74%
-5.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 79%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.84/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.88
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 85%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.6
13.0 Crosses 28.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.86 xG 2.37
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
220 Passes 450
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
01.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
10.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.03.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
05.10.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.07.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-8
AWAY Riga FC
0.52 xG 5.64
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
168 Passes 545
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 52
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over FS Jelgava 8-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 28% of the ball to Riga FC's 72%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.52 to 5.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 2.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Riga FC?

FS Jelgava 0-8 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 13%, draw 18%, Riga FC 69%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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