Miami FC 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Jul 2026

📅06/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.28/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.29
-10% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.0 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
20.10.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-3 HT 1-3 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
25.05.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
23.09.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
21.04.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
25.09.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
1-1
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.79 xG 1.22
20 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
493 Passes 335
25 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Miami FC and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 6 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 1.79 to 1.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miami FC and 1.00 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion?

Miami FC 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 06/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miami FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 40%, draw 20%, Birmingham Legion 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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