Birmingham Legion 2-3 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.56/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
-19% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.2 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Miami FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
384 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
23.09.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
21.04.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
25.09.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
04.05.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
04.09.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
2-3
AWAY Miami FC
1.68 xG 2.34
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
421 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC nicked a narrow win over Birmingham Legion 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 61% of the ball to Miami FC's 39%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.68 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.17 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC?

Birmingham Legion 2-3 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 49%, draw 24%, Miami FC 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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