New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 3-3 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United and Oakland Roots couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, New Mexico United had 55% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 45%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.28 to 2.65.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New Mexico United and 1.00 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
New Mexico United 3-3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 47%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.