Bedford Town 2-2 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 39%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.89
+127% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
2-2
AWAY Curzon Ashton
58% Ball Possession 42%
28 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 12
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town and Curzon Ashton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bedford Town had 58% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 42%, shots finished 28-16.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Bedford Town 2-2 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 39%, draw 28%, Curzon Ashton 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bedford Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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