Chorley vs AFC Telford United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v AFC Telford United — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs AFC Telford United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Chorley 3-1 AFC Telford United — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley beat AFC Telford United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Chorley had 42% of the ball to AFC Telford United's 58%, shots finished 10-19.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Chorley and 0.80 for AFC Telford United.
What was the final score of Chorley vs AFC Telford United?
Chorley 3-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Conference on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs AFC Telford United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Chorley 60%, draw 23%, AFC Telford United 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.