Montrose 3-1 Aberdeen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 6 Sep 2025

Montrose
3-1 HT 2-1
Aberdeen II
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Montrose vs Aberdeen II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.59
Over 2.5
70%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.68
No
32%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
5.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
31%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
68%
+3.7pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.3pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
35%
-4.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
65%
+4.8pp
68%
BTTS Yes
56%
+12.0pp
32%
BTTS No
44%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montrose v Aberdeen II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen II EU Bookmakers 17%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
4.73/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/3.55
+87% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
426 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Aberdeen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose saw off Aberdeen II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montrose as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Aberdeen II?

Montrose 3-1 Aberdeen II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Aberdeen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Montrose 72%, draw 15%, Aberdeen II 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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