Stenhousemuir 4-0 Kilmarnock II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 6 Sep 2025

Stenhousemuir
4-0 HT 2-0
Kilmarnock II
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Stenhousemuir vs Kilmarnock II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
30%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
7.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.3pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Kilmarnock II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock II EU Bookmakers 21%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-90% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Kilmarnock II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir cruised past Kilmarnock II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Kilmarnock II?

Stenhousemuir 4-0 Kilmarnock II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Kilmarnock II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 57%, draw 20%, Kilmarnock II 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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