Walsall 1-0 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.67
Over
40%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.84
No
52%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.55
2-3
39%
1.69
4-5
19%
4.02
6+
9%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
11%
5.62
X/2
12%
5.38
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
20%
3.78
2/X
10%
13.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Walsall The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield The Market 40%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.28 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.08
1.12 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.20
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.1 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
138 Passes 475
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
11.05.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Walsall Walsall İN2
15.02.2025 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.10.2024 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-2 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
07.03.2017 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
16.08.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-0
AWAY Chesterfield
0.63 xG 0.37
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
92 Passes 433
51% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Walsall vs Chesterfield
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Walsall squeezed past Chesterfield 1-0.

From a near-even 35% / 28% / 37% read, it was Walsall who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Chesterfield saw more of the ball, 74% to 26%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Walsall against 1.00 for Chesterfield.

Walsall vs Chesterfield Result & Final Score

Walsall 1-0 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Walsall vs Chesterfield Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Walsall 35%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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