Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Bucaramanga v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Bucaramanga saw off Alianza Petrolera 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 70% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 30%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 0.88 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera?
Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 52%, draw 23%, Alianza Petrolera 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.