Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.23/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.14
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.7 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 221
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.03.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
20.02.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
04.09.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
11.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.66 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas edged past Deportivo Pereira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Once Caldas had 51% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 49%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 0.66 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Once Caldas and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5
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