Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.07/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.98
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.5 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
238 Passes 266
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 6
23.03.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
20.02.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
04.09.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
11.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
13.08.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-1
AWAY Once Caldas
0.98 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
179 Passes 266
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 8
10 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira squeezed past Once Caldas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Pereira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 42% of the ball to Once Caldas's 58%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.98 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.50 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?

Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 49%, draw 28%, Once Caldas 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5
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