Deportes Tolima 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.89/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
14.0 Crosses 13.7
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 301
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-3 HT 4-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
23.12.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
19.12.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
15.11.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.04.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
09.11.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-3 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
0-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.25 xG 0.07
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
397 Passes 168
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 3
35 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima and Atletico Nacional played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 68% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 32%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 1.25 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportes Tolima and 2.00 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?

Deportes Tolima 0-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 35%, draw 27%, Atletico Nacional 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5
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