Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toronto FC v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chicago Fire edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Toronto FC's last 5 home league games, while Chicago Fire have found the net in all 5 of their most recent away league games.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Toronto FC against 2.00 for Chicago Fire.
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Kick-off Time
Toronto FC play Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 06/09/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire is an Chicago Fire win at about 43% probability, priced 2.24 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Toronto FC 32%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 43%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.