Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Sep 2026

📅06/09/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.65 xG 2.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
367 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2026 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-0 HT 2-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
23.11.2025 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
22.05.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-1 HT 3-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
02.03.2025 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
14.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 9-1 HT 2-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
28.01.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-2 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
PREVIEW Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The data tilts towards AZ Alkmaar despite the venue, which says a lot about how the model rates the two squads.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heerenveen and 3.33 for AZ Alkmaar.

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Kick-off Time

Heerenveen play AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/09/2026, kick-off 15:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar is an AZ Alkmaar win at about 55% probability, priced 1.79 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Heerenveen 23%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar 55%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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