Arlanda 3-0 Kungsangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
27%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.89
Over
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No Pick
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
73%
-22.4pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
27%
Away Win
11%
+16.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kungsangen EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +13%
2.46/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.73
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kungsangen
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
09.06.2024 Kungsangen Kungsangen 2-3 HT 1-2 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
30.09.2023 Kungsangen Kungsangen 1-3 HT 0-2 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
28.05.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 4-1 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
13.11.2021 Arlanda Arlanda 1-1 HT 1-1 Kungsangen Kungsangen İSÇ4
11.09.2021 Kungsangen Kungsangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Kungsangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda cruised past Kungsangen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arlanda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Arlanda and 1.60 for Kungsangen.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Kungsangen?

Arlanda 3-0 Kungsangen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Kungsangen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 51%, draw 22%, Kungsangen 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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