Estepona 0-0 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.45
Over
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
44%
2-3
32%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.9pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.40
-9% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Orihuela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Orihuela Orihuela 2-0 HT 1-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
26.11.2023 Estepona Estepona 0-0 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
0-0
AWAY Orihuela
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and Orihuela fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estepona had 45% of the ball to Orihuela's 55%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orihuela led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Estepona and 1.00 for Orihuela.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Orihuela?

Estepona 0-0 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estepona 47%, draw 29%, Orihuela 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estepona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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