Basel 1-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.24
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
17%
5.33
X/2
10%
6.16
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2
18%
3.97
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.52/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.43
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.8 Crosses 22.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.02 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-0 Basel Basel İSV
27.01.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
08.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
16.04.2023 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.04.2023 Basel Basel 2-4 HT 0-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
19.03.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-0
AWAY Young Boys
1.08 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
433 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel nicked a narrow win over Young Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Basel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Basel had 60% of the ball to Young Boys's 40%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Basel and 2.67 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Basel vs Young Boys?

Basel 1-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Basel 37%, draw 29%, Young Boys 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel)
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