St. Gallen 1-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.87
X/2
8%
5.87
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
16%
3.48
2/X
12%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.32
+27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.7 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
317 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-1 Servette Servette İSV
02.03.2024 Servette Servette 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
31.01.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
12.08.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
29.04.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.02.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-1
AWAY Servette
1.32 xG 2.01
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
206 Passes 353
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen and Servette couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, St. Gallen had 40% of the ball to Servette's 60%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.32 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Servette.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Servette?

St. Gallen 1-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 44%, draw 25%, Servette 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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