Ascoli 1-2 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.92
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.0
6+
9%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.94/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.52
-23% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pescara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2021 Pescara Pescara 2-3 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
04.12.2020 Ascoli Ascoli 0-2 HT 0-2 Pescara Pescara İTB
01.03.2020 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
06.10.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 0-2 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
07.04.2019 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
25.11.2018 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-2
AWAY Pescara
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara edged past Ascoli 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Pescara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 52% of the ball to Pescara's 48%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ascoli and 1.67 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Pescara?

Ascoli 1-2 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 37%, draw 28%, Pescara 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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