Clodiense 1-2 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.44
Over
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.04
2-3
41%
1.84
4-5
17%
6.36
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clodiense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clodiense
1-2
AWAY Pro Patria
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Clodiense vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria squeezed past Clodiense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Pro Patria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clodiense had 68% of the ball to Pro Patria's 32%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Clodiense vs Pro Patria?

Clodiense 1-2 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clodiense vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clodiense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Clodiense 40%, draw 31%, Pro Patria 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Clodiense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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