Virtus Entella 3-1 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.35
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
485 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
3-1
AWAY Legnago Salus
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella beat Legnago Salus 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 67% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 33%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Legnago Salus?

Virtus Entella 3-1 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 60%, draw 23%, Legnago Salus 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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