Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.87/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.30
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +43%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
31.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
31.10.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rot-Weiss Oberhausen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 0.67 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 54%, draw 23%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
6 Oct 2024
14:00 Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
14:00 VFC Plauen vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs Babelsberg Analysis →
14:30 Teutonia Hamburg vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Wacker Burghausen vs Türkgücü München Analysis →
15:00 Bayreuth vs Schwaben Augsburg Analysis →