Hebar 1918 1-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.3pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
30.03.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
31.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
1-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebar 1918 and Botev Vratsa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 36% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 43% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 57%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hebar 1918 and 2.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Botev Vratsa?

Hebar 1918 1-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 30%, draw 36%, Botev Vratsa 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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