Tochigi SC 1-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.91/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.46
+25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
29.08.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
28.03.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
25.10.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
16.08.2020 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
28.09.2019 Ehime FC Ehime FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-1
AWAY Ehime FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
326 Passes 190
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC and Ehime FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 56% of the ball to Ehime FC's 44%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.67 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?

Tochigi SC 1-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 43%, draw 32%, Ehime FC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tochigi SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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