Montedio Yamagata 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Oct 2024

Montedio Yamagata
2-0 HT 2-0
Renofa Yamaguchi
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
10%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montedio Yamagata v Renofa Yamaguchi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.39/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.31
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 366
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 2-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
05.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
29.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
06.08.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
25.05.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
28.08.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2

Montedio Yamagata 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
343 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 54% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 46%, shots finished 11-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Montedio Yamagata 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 44%, draw 26%, Renofa Yamaguchi 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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