Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2024

Renofa Yamaguchi
2-0 HT 2-0
Montedio Yamagata
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Renofa Yamaguchi v Montedio Yamagata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.29/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
366 Passes 297
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
29.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
06.08.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
25.05.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
28.08.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
13.06.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Montedio Yamagata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2-0
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi saw off Montedio Yamagata 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Renofa Yamaguchi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 49% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 51%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata?

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 39%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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