Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 32% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.30/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.21
-7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses 12.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
27.09.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
02.04.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
06.07.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
12.03.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-2 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
14.11.2015 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-2
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
411 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis edged past Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Roasso Kumamoto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 52% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 48%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.17 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 43%, draw 26%, Tokushima Vortis 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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